Tuesday , May 11 2021

There is a low stake in expectations, but the economy remains a major concern – 12/09/2018



The worst thing about? The definition / question that the natural government counts, broke again to the end of the year, begins with two statistical agreements. On one hand, the research found a a low build expectations economic mar, on and others, inflation, tariffs and unemployment, including, on & nbsp; The top of Argentina's worries.

Clarin He resolves five public opinions that support this property. They are national surveys Management & Fit, D Alessia IROL – Berensdtein, Opinaia, M & R query en Ricardo Rouvier & Asociados.

This information is key for a few reasons:

1) Between the end of 2017 and the beginning of this year was the fall of economic expectations & # 39; The fact that when a few injected was in & # 39; the image of President Mauricio Macri. Can anything else reverse?

2) Less than nine months of primary screenings, the feeling of & # 39; People over their future, say analysts, influences his tuning tendency.

These are the major conclusions of studies.

Management & Fit

The national survey is done by the consultation of M & F only for Clarin In December 2012, the first week of December confirmed a rebound in economic expectations.

The work, known as the "Index of Optimism", takes the image of Mauricio Macri's government into political and economic affairs, both current issues and a look at the future. The latest data highlighted a generalized rise in "Political Optimism" and Another improvement of the expectations of "Economic Optimism".

Management & Fit survey, exclusively for Clarín.

Management & Fit survey, exclusively for Clarín.

Juan Pablo Hedo, of M & F, explains: "In economic matters, there is a need to improve expectations of the future of economy, which reflects a 1.2-point reduction on the sub-index of economic Expectations Instead, the index is that trust in the current economy remains constant with an important anchor in the variants, that was 1.8 pessimistic point. "

Management & Fit survey, exclusively for Clarín.

Management & Fit survey, exclusively for Clarín.

"In the height of the policy," Hedo said, "expectations were 1.7 points more positive and the assessment of current today's 1.6." The greatest increase were in indicators that were the way of & # 39; The future capability of locking problems (+ +2.6 points) and in # 39 questions about the disadvantage in & # 39; the time of driving (+2.9).

D Alessia IROL – Berensdtein

The consultant asked for a few days the survey he did in November. They were 1,439 cases in the whole country. The work is called "social and political humor" and distinguishes various variables. If you read the evolution of the economic data data, Almost everyone has a spit. Always keep in mind that they come from a very utterly empty.

National research on D & Alessio IROL / Berensztein.

National research on D & Alessio IROL / Berensztein.

For example, if they ask people how to evaluate the economic situation compared to the last year, those who choose "less" from 92 to 89 points. Or when they will be asked how to create the economic situation within a year, The optimists are from 34% to 37% and the pessimists fall from 63% to 58%.

This company is one of those who 't the problems that most importantly are # measure. And it's clear progress of economic problems. The ranking is dotted by "inflation", "uncertainty in the economic situation of the country", "increase in electricity, gas and other upheaval" and "increase of taxation and tax pressure". Just in the fifth place appears "insecurity / delinquency".

Opinaia

It is another of the # 39 pollsters that make a monthly monitor of & # 39; the "public community". The last month they were 3,000 cases in the whole country. And there she registers various improvements for the government.

Examples? In two months (from September to November), the negative evaluation of the "current economic situation" of six points (from 70% to 64%) and the positive (from 23% to 29%) dropped six points. Also, expectations: Thoughts believe that the situation will be "improved" from 33% to 35% in & # 39; The last month and those who believe that "worse" is from 43% to 38%.

National Opinion Opinion.

National Opinion Opinion.

Yes, it exists: The rebound comes in a delicate situation. Opinaia registered, for example, that more than 70% of their respondents hit "many / enough" expeditions to "go out to eat" or "outcomes like the movie, theater, recitals". 87% said they are "promoting promotion" to buy and 80%, the privileges "prices on quality".

M & R query

This measure has a visible sight Gustavo Marangoni, a former skilful official. Between this November and the beginning of December, it was released 1,224 tickets across the country.

National M & R / Query Research.

National M & R / Query Research.

The advisor is in Duplicate searches on & # 39; the result in & # 39; the economy: on one side the staff; On the other hand, the general of the country. Both had a small improvement. The "personal economic index" went from 31 to 33.9 points; and the "Argentine Economy Index", from 30 to 31.4.

National M & R / Query Research.

National M & R / Query Research.

National M & R / Query Research.

National M & R / Query Research.

The work of this business also lets the victory of # 39 concern about economic problems: lead inflation (38%) and unemployment (30%). Third and fourth appear, far away, insecurity (15%) and corruption (12%).

Ricardo Rouvier & Asociados

This consultant who worked for the church for many years and continues his study on Unidad Ciudadana, presented his monumental days, expanded until the first days of December to measure the G20 effect. As Clarín said, besides confirming the electoral polarization between Cristina and Macri, was a positive influence on the image of the president on the international top.

National research of Rouvier & Asociados.

National research of Rouvier & Asociados.

Rouvier also has a improving the government on a sensitive problem: The price is lifted. Since September, the number of interventions is believed to be that the inflation does not "decrease" (from 70.8% to 65.7% in November) and in parallel those who believe that & # 39; it will reduce & # 39; (13, 3% to 17.6%).


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